Two things that caught my attention this week 3/31/19

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Two things that caught my attention this week, 3/31/19:

• The S&P 500 $SPX rallied more than 1.5% in March, while the Russell 2000 (small caps) fell more than -2% over the past 20 years, this divergence only happened one other time: March 2000 - via Troy Bombardia

• Flip side: Asian data beginning to turn - China ISM highest in 5 months, EM Asian financial conditions loosening.

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Two things that caught my attention this week 3/25/19

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Two things that caught my attention this week, 3/25/19:

1. As a matter of national security, China cannot accept a trade deal that leads to a higher CNY v. USD unless that deal allows China to import key commodities (esp energy) in their own currency. There likely won't be a trade deal unless this is agreed to.
2. Samuel Rines: The Fed's decision on the balance sheet basically means QE-lite is coming in 2020.

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Two things that caught my attention this week 3/18/19

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Two things that caught my attention this week, 3/18/19:

• Highlight of MUST READ FT Alphaville article that examines USD's reserve structure post-1980 through "Dutch disease" lens & hits the nail on the head. This article gets at why I keep saying that unless the USD's reserve structure is changed, the US will lose the trade war.
• Bill Dudley Says Fed Hikes "May Be Back In Play" As Soon As The Second Half – if stock market rally continues, that is quite possible.

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Two things that caught my attention this week 3/10/19

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Two things that caught my attention this week, 3/10/19:

• Getting hard to deny that a new Cold War appears to be breaking out as US forcing world to “pick sides”.
• DON’T GET SILOED - Complacency regarding financial fallout of US geopolitical moves remains surprisingly high 

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Any questions that you have from this episode will be answered on next week’s LIVE Periscope.